Monday, February 28, 2022

Portfolio Summary for February 2022

As of 28 February 2022

CDP

Security# sharesPrice S$%
DBS30033.823.63
OCBC Bank70011.672.93
SGX1,2009.344.01
SATS3,9003.975.55
ST Engineering6,8003.829.31
CapitaLand Invest2,7003.693.57
Micro-Mechanics1,3003.201.49
Powermatic Data5,0002.805.02
Singtel6,1002.525.51
TheHourGlass15,4002.0011.03
Sheng Siong13,0001.527.08
ComfortDelGro11,2001.415.66
Genting Singapore11,7000.773.23
HRnetGroup21,9000.7756.08
HC Surgical35,5000.486.10
China Sunsine41,8000.4857.26
Kimly27,0000.393.77
Silverlake Axis60,8000.2856.21
CL Int Com Trust3,4002.112.57
Portfolio Market Value = $279,156

Trade Actions
- Bought 10,800 shares of China Sunsine Chemical Holdings.
- Sold 400 shares of DBS.
- Sold 800 shares of OCBC Bank.
- Sold 2,700 shares of CapitaLand Investment.

SRS

Security# sharesPrice S$%
OCBC Bank90011.6711.48
SGX1,3009.3413.27
SATS2,2003.979.55
ST Engineering3,0003.8212.52
Singtel2,0002.525.51
Sheng Siong8,7001.5214.45
ComfortDelGro6,9001.4110.63
HC Surgical19,5000.4810.23
China Sunsine10,8000.4855.72
Silverlake Axis21,3000.2856.63
Portfolio Market Value = $91,501

Trade Actions
- Bought 10,800 shares of China Sunsine Chemical Holdings.

Commentary:
It's earnings galore in February. The bulk of companies on my watchlist reported an improved set of results. China Sunsine in particular, reported a significant increase in revenue and profit. HRnetGroup also reported a hefty gain in revenue due to a much better job placement market.

As stock prices climbed in early February, I took some profit on my stake in DBS, OCBC Bank and CapitaLand Investment. It was a timely move as the Russia-Ukraine war broke out thereafter.

Even though the war is thousands of miles away, it grabbed my attention as a similar situation could have happened to Singapore, if our bigger neighbours are aggressive and militarily potent. Peace can never be taken for granted.

Closer to home, we have the inflation war and the COVID-19 war to fight. During my weekly grocery trip, I observed how the cost of food items has increased. Some prices jumped nearly 10%. And it wasn't just food, but other necessities too, like energy. My friends are complaining about the continual jack-up in fuel pump prices. There was an article describing how bigger electricity bills are causing a headache for F&B owners [news].

Then there is the virus. Singapore is seeing daily case load in the tens of thousands. On my Facebook wall, several friends posted about being tested COVID-19 positive. Seems like it is a matter of when - not if - one would get infected. I do hope the pandemic ends with the Omicron variant. The world cannot afford to deal with another more lethal and transmissible strain.

Sheesh. For my own sanity and emotional health, I ought to stop reading all these depressing stuff in the news and social media.

On a more positive note, I had just completed my yearly evaluation with my boss. Thankfully, my performance had met his expectation in 2021, and I received a performance bonus and a pay bump.

I read in Straits Times how a man of my age had been out of employment for a year and is struggling to land a job [news]. I am grateful I still have a position and can provide for my family. I am mindful of how people tend to increase their expenditure with a higher salary. I see no need for a change in my current lifestyle. I am comfortable staying in a HDB estate and not in a condominium. I am comfortable taking public transportation and not owning a car. I am comfortable packing food from hawker centres and not dining in fancy restaurants. Sure, these status perks are wonderful, but I don't think they will give me any more fulfillment than the simple pleasures I am enjoying in my life right now.

To know that I have the CHOICE (to spend more money freely when I want to) is already a satisfying feeling in itself.

In the recent Budget 2022 announcement, Finance Minister Lawrence Wong confirmed the GST will be increased to 8% and 9% in 2023 and 2024 respectively. Some folks gripe about the double whammy of tax and inflation. Then again, there is never a good time to raise taxes. Better the bitter medicine now than a bigger pill to swallow later down the road. And I just watched CNA's Talking Point documentary, in which a tax expert said that 9% may not be the end. Singapore may need the GST to be around 12% to 15% in ten to fifteen years' time in order to sustain the budget [video]. Given my low propensity to consume (i.e. thriftiness), the impact on me and my family should be limited. (In fact, I often joke to my wife that if everybody were like me, Singapore would have an ailing service economy!)

In the blink of an eye, we are nearly through the first calendar quarter. My boss promised more responsibilities for me this year. Ugh. Sounds like more challenges coming my way. But really, having been in this competitive IT industry for a decade now, I should get comfortable being uncomfortable. What I earn commensurates with the value I bring to the table for my clients. Ideally, if I can accomplish more (result) with less (effort), then it will be a win-win outcome. To derive full benefit of the Pareto Principle, this is my short term goal. My long term goal remains the same - to build a sizeable asset portfolio that generates a meaningful passive income. And I am confident I am taking concrete steps in the right direction.

Until next time, stay safe my friends!




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Monday, January 31, 2022

Portfolio Summary for January 2022

As of 31 January 2022

CDP

Security# sharesPrice S$%
DBS70035.208.20
OCBC Bank1,50012.476.22
SGX1,2009.313.72
SATS3,9003.915.07
ST Engineering6,8003.738.44
CapitaLand Invest5,4003.456.20
Singtel6,1002.434.93
Powermatic Data5,0002.864.76
Micro-Mechanics1,3003.311.43
ComfortDelGro11,2001.365.07
Sheng Siong13,0001.496.44
TheHourGlass15,4001.899.68
Genting Singapore11,7000.7352.86
HRnetGroup21,9000.765.54
China Sunsine31,0000.4654.80
HC Surgical35,5000.516.02
Silverlake Axis60,8000.2354.75
Kimly27,0000.413.68
CL Int Com Trust3,4001.942.19
Portfolio Market Value = $300,612

Trade Actions
- Bought 2,700 shares of ST Engineering.
- Bought 2,565 shares of CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust.

SRS

Security# sharesPrice S$%
OCBC Bank90012.4713.16
SGX1,3009.3114.19
SATS2,2003.9110.09
ST Engineering3,0003.7313.12
Singtel2,0002.435.70
ComfortDelGro6,9001.3611.00
Sheng Siong8,7001.4915.20
HC Surgical19,5000.5111.66
Silverlake Axis21,3000.2355.87
Portfolio Market Value = $85,276

Trade Actions
- Bought 3,600 shares of ComfortDelGro Group.
- Bought 1,300 shares of ST Engineering.

Commentary:
After a stellar performance in 2021, the strong momentum continued in the local bourse till mid-January when the jubilant mood started to fizzle. The Straits Times Index managed to clock a respectable 4.0% return for the month of January, even though the S&P 500 Index is down 7.6% YTD.

With interest rate hikes poised to happen this year, analysts are saying the U.S. Fed will likely adopt the Kokomo treatment (from the classic song with the lyric, "we'll get there fast, and then we'll take it slow.")

A higher interest rate means heavier debt servicing for companies, and a bigger discount rate for stock valuations, both of which are supposed to be bad for equities.

Then, there is the sabre-rattling between NATO countries and Russia over Ukraine, sending war jitters all over Europe.

Investors are starting to find reason to take money off the table.

I added positions in ST Engineering and ComfortDelGro in January as their stock prices retreated. I also took a stab in the odd lot market to round up my position in CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust. This should make my disposal easier at a later time.

It is earnings season, but not many companies on my watchlist have reported yet. Micro-Mechanics Holdings turned in a decent 2H2021 report card, which was expected, given the red-hot demand for semiconductor chips. A 6 cents DPS was declared (same as previous period).

Up north, Genting Hong Kong Ltd, parent company of cruise operators Star Cruises and Dream Cruises, filed for provisional liquidation. The company had become insolvent under the burden of its debt and liabilities. Dream Cruises itself filed a winding-up petition on 27 January.


World Dream (Photo credit: Dream Cruises)

My family had just taken a trip onboard World Dream last December. We enjoyed the food, performances and activities onboard the majestic liner. While it has programmes catering to families, the ship is really a floating gambling den in thin disguise, with jackpot machines everywhere on the main deck and poker tables in plain sight.

Locally listed Genting Singapore isn't adversely impacted by the above event, as it has no cross-holding with Genting Hong Kong. With a $3.1 billion cash buffer and liabilities at a third of that, Genting Singapore isn't in danger of the same fate. That said, the company isn't faring well either, with limited tourist arrival via the VTLs and SMM requirements restricting its operating capacity.

January also saw OCBC Bank suffered its worst PR nightmare in recent years. Some of its customers had lost their life savings to sophisticated phishing scams within minutes. CEO Helen Wong likened the whole experience to 'fighting a war' [news]. There doesn't seem to be major reputational damage though, and OCBC stock price had stayed mostly intact. Altogether, OCBC completed goodwill compensation of $13.7 million to 790 victims [news]. A painful episode for all stakeholders.

As a OCBC customer, I did receive a strange SMS two weeks ago, prompting me to login. The sender name was OCBC in round brackets. It seemed innocent enough. But the text message came with a questionable bit.ly link, which aroused my suspicion. I deleted the SMS after some thought. Better be safe than sorry.

Recently, my spouse broached the topic of paying down the mortgage on our 5-room HDB flat. We still have about $350,000 outstanding. Given the potential for multiple U.S. Fed interest rate hikes this year (which Singapore tends to follow in lockstep), this issue has taken on additional significance. Currently, our mortgage is pegged to DBS FHR6 plus a step-up rate. While my spouse and I are confident we can handle the increase in accrued interest comfortably, whether this is a good use of our money is another matter. Unfortunately, we had just repriced our mortgage late last year. This means we are locked in commitment for the next two years. Nonetheless, I have opened a POSB Save As You Earn (SAYE) account, which will automatically debit $3,000 from my salary account each month. The benefit is 2% interest earned on accumulated funds for the first two years. When our mortgage lock-up period is over, we should have sufficient savings to pay down the loan completely. That will truly be the moment when we can call ourselves debt free (short of the money we 'owe' ourselves in CPF.)

Two weeks into the new year, I came down with a bout of flu. Thankfully, it wasn't COVID-19. But still, it felt terrible and I was confined at home for five days. During this period, I binged on books that I kept in my cabinet. One of which is "The Instant Millionaire" written by Mark Fisher.


If you hadn't read it before, I recommend you take a look. It may bring about a mindset change.

Having pumped up with motivation, I realized I am too 'timid' in my asset allocation. At this rate, I will likely fail to hit my retirement goal. Henceforth, I shall adopt a more aggressive posture and build up my portfolios at a faster clip. I won't divulge my interim stretch goal here, but I will reveal in a year's time whether I accomplish it or not. Fingers crossed.

Have a wonderful and prosperous Lunar New Year, my friends!




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Friday, December 31, 2021

Portfolio Summary for December 2021

As of 31 December 2021

CDP

Security# sharesPrice S$%
DBS70032.667.87
OCBC Bank1,50011.405.89
SGX1,2009.303.84
SATS3,9003.895.23
ST Engineering4,1003.765.31
CapitaLand Invest5,4003.416.34
Singtel6,1002.324.87
Powermatic Data5,0002.945.06
Micro-Mechanics1,3003.381.51
ComfortDelGro11,2001.405.40
Sheng Siong13,0001.466.54
Genting Singapore11,7000.7753.12
TheHourGlass15,4002.0410.82
HRnetGroup21,9000.8056.07
China Sunsine31,0000.4855.18
HC Surgical35,5000.556.73
Silverlake Axis60,8000.2755.76
Kimly27,0000.4153.86
CL Int Com Trust8352.040.59
Portfolio Value = $290,330

Trade Actions
- None

SRS

Security# sharesPrice S$%
OCBC Bank90011.4012.68
SGX1,3009.3014.95
SATS2,2003.8910.58
ST Engineering1,7003.767.90
Singtel2,0002.325.74
ComfortDelGro6,9001.4011.94
Sheng Siong8,7001.4615.70
HC Surgical19,5000.5513.26
Silverlake Axis21,3000.2757.24
Portfolio Value = $80,885

Trade Actions
- Bought 3,600 shares of ComfortDelGro Group.

Commentary:
We have finally come to the end of a tumultuous year. When the shadow of the Delta variant is almost behind us, there arose yet another more infectious Omicron variant of the COVID-19 virus. Luckily, the Omicron variant is not as lethal as expected. Coupled with a high rate of vaccination, the downside impact is mitigated to an extent. Nevertheless, the virus is constantly mutating, and we will never know what may come in Year 2022.

Fortunately, human affairs are more predictable. The U.S. and Russia have started engaging in talks rather than military manoeuvres, so the chance of an armed conflict in Europe is unlikely at this point [news]. U.S. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has been endorsed for another term. The Fed has clearly signaled its intention to end the bond buying [news] and will raise interest rates soon. This bodes well for banks who have been facing NIM pressure, but bad news for mortgagors. The MAS has cautioned about the rising debt level in Singaporean households [news]. A rate hike also spells trouble for companies deep in liabilities. Look no further than China's Evergrande as a poster child of what may happen to companies who mismanage their borrowings. This is one reason why I steer clear of most REITs and have a preference for companies with minimal debt or are debt-free.

For myself, I have finished the last instalment of my son's endowment plan, which means my future income can be freed up for other use (like bullets for my investment portfolio!) I completed my CPF and SRS Top-ups in December too. I just found out that I have hit the cap for my CPF Special Account (SA) and Medisave Account (MA) in 2021. Come 2022 when the ceiling is raised further to $192,000 for SA and $66,000 for MA respectively, I will be making another contribution before the Lunar New Year. The aim is to maximize the income tax relief.

Investments-wise, I have been disciplined in following my rules this year. I stuck to only companies on my watchlist (regardless of how appealing those cash-burning unicorns and cryptocurrencies appear to be!) I waited patiently for the stocks to fall from their sky high prices before taking small bites at a time. I consider myself a weirdo investor - Lofty valuations of my portfolio doesn't make me happy. On the contrary, I feel excited when stock prices plunge, because it means I get opportunities to add on my positions. For months when there wasn't any buying opportunity, I saved up the money. So far, I have managed to rebuild a sizeable war chest. I hope to be able to deploy it in 2022.

In summary, 2021 has been a satisfactory year for me in terms of investment and working towards my goal of financial freedom. While I faced psychological stress due to juggling Work-From-Home arrangement and my children's Home-Based Learning, I am glad my family managed to stay safe and healthy. As the population achieves herd immunity, my hope for 2022 is that the COVID-19 virus will become no deadlier than the seasonal flu, and that we can regain some semblance of life prior to the pandemic (e.g. no requirement for outdoor mask wearing). I also hope to travel overseas again.

Have a wonderful New Year, my friends!




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Tuesday, November 30, 2021

Portfolio Summary for November 2021

As of 30 November 2021

CDP

Security# sharesPrice S$%
DBS70029.877.22
OCBC Bank1,50010.985.69
SGX1,2008.933.70
SATS3,9003.805.12
ST Engineering4,1003.815.40
CapitaLand Invest5,4003.366.27
Singtel6,1002.475.02
Powermatic Data5,0002.915.03
Micro-Mechanics1,3003.201.44
ComfortDelGro11,2001.375.30
Sheng Siong13,0001.466.56
Genting Singapore11,7000.773.11
TheHourGlass15,4002.1611.49
HRnetGroup21,9000.7956.01
China Sunsine31,0000.495.25
HC Surgical35,5000.576.99
Silverlake Axis60,8000.2855.99
Kimly27,0000.4153.87
CL Int Com Trust8352.110.61
Portfolio Value = $289,513

Trade Actions
- Bought 3,300 shares of ComfortDelGro Group.

SRS

Security# sharesPrice S$%
OCBC Bank90010.9813.10
SGX1,3008.9315.39
SATS2,2003.8011.08
ST Engineering1,7003.818.58
Singtel2,0002.366.26
ComfortDelGro3,3001.375.99
Sheng Siong8,7001.4616.83
HC Surgical19,5000.5714.73
Silverlake Axis21,3000.2858.05
Portfolio Value = $75,457

Trade Actions
- Bought 3,300 shares of ComfortDelGro Group.

Commentary:
News of the Omicron variant of COVID-19 virus spooked investors worldwide at the end of the month. I took the opportunity to take a small bite of ComfortDelGro Group as its price sailed lower...only to see it tank even further after the news. Sigh. That just goes to show how volatile the stock market is these days.

It should have been a good year for most investors. The S&P 500 Index has soared an admirable 24 percent year-to-date. Even our local Straits Times Index has done well, having risen nearly 10 percent YTD. It is unlikely we will see major price (mood?) swings in December, but in the event opportunity knocks, I have my dry powder ready for deployment into the stock market.

December also marks the time of the year when I experience HUGE cash outflows. Firstly, there is the premium due for my son's endowment plan. Thankfully, this is the last instalment, which means the money vested will start to roll on its own until my son hits university age. I will not have to worry too much about the enrolment fee.

Then, there is the CPF Retirement Sum Topping-Up (RSTU). I do this every year to grow my CPF funds at a good interest rate while earning some income tax relief at the same time. Lastly, there is the topping-up of my Supplementary Retirement Scheme (SRS) account. This is another method I use to grow my retirement fund tax-free. My company also does a 50% matching of my SRS contribution up to a certain amount, so it is like an annual bonus.

Looking ahead, the Omicron variant threatens to rock the boat for every person, business and country again. It has been two years since the first appearance of the COVID-19 virus, and now it looks like a neverending war. Mask wearing has become an essential part of everyday life. I can only hope for the day when we no longer have to live under the shadow of the pandemic.

Enough of the sad stuff. Have a jolly Christmas, my friends!




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Sunday, October 31, 2021

Portfolio Summary for October 2021

As of 31 October 2021

CDP

Security# sharesPrice S$%
DBS70031.537.59
OCBC Bank1,50011.806.09
SGX1,2009.683.99
SATS3,9004.195.62
ST Engineering4,1003.835.40
CapitaLand Invest5,4003.446.39
Singtel6,1002.505.24
Powermatic Data5,0002.935.04
Micro-Mechanics1,3003.311.48
ComfortDelGro7,9001.564.24
Sheng Siong13,0001.426.35
Genting Singapore11,7000.783.14
TheHourGlass15,4001.9610.38
HRnetGroup21,9000.8156.14
China Sunsine31,0000.515.44
HC Surgical35,5000.5456.65
Silverlake Axis60,8000.326.69
Kimly27,0000.383.53
CL Int Com Trust8352.150.62
Portfolio Value = $290,821

Trade Actions
- None

SRS

Security# sharesPrice S$%
OCBC Bank90011.8014.40
SGX1,3009.6817.07
SATS2,2004.1912.50
ST Engineering1,7003.838.83
Singtel2,0002.506.78
Sheng Siong8,7001.4216.76
HC Surgical19,5000.54514.41
Silverlake Axis21,3000.329.24
Portfolio Value = $73,731

Trade Actions
- None

Commentary:
October sailed past in the blink of an eye. I hadn't paid much attention to the market while my work piled up, since the prices were trading beyond my preferred range. In the end, it seems I didn't miss much.

Company-wise, I'm happy with the latest performance by Sheng Siong Group. Revenue and profit went up, though strangely, the stock had lost favour among investors. The price had dropped since the last time I made my purchase. At this level of dividend yield, I believe it is a good opportunity to load up. I will consider buying more shares soon.

Two more months to go before we call an end to 2021. I'm starting to clear my annual leave bit by bit, which gives me a much needed break away from work. The daily number of COVID-19 cases in Singapore remains a concern however. My family encountered a false alarm, which required my son to do daily ART. I have a close friend whose child was diagnosed with COVID-19 positive unfortunately.

I hope those affected families are coping well. My heart goes out to you.



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Thursday, September 30, 2021

Portfolio Summary for September 2021

As of 30 September 2021

CDP

Security# sharesPrice S$%
DBS70030.327.60
OCBC Bank1,50011.506.17
SGX1,2009.984.29
SATS3,9004.165.81
ST Engineering4,1003.815.59
CapitaLand Invest5,4003.406.57
Singtel6,1002.465.37
Powermatic Data5,0002.905.19
Micro-Mechanics1,3003.211.49
ComfortDelGro7,9001.514.27
Sheng Siong13,0001.486.89
Genting Singapore11,7000.723.01
TheHourGlass15,4001.568.60
HRnetGroup21,9000.776.03
China Sunsine31,0000.4955.49
HC Surgical35,5000.556.99
Silverlake Axis60,8000.2956.42
Kimly27,0000.3753.62
CL Int Com Trust8352.030.61
Portfolio Value = $279,440

Trade Actions
- Bought 3,400 shares of Sheng Siong Group.

SRS

Security# sharesPrice S$%
OCBC Bank90011.5014.03
SGX1,3009.9817.59
SATS2,2004.1612.41
ST Engineering1,7003.818.78
Singtel2,0002.466.67
Sheng Siong8,7001.4817.46
HC Surgical19,5000.5514.54
Silverlake Axis21,3000.2958.52
Portfolio Value = $73,758

Trade Actions
- None

Commentary:
Will keep it short. I did only one trade, adding my position in Sheng Siong Group as the price floated lower. September also witnessed the birth of CapitaLand Investment Management, which was rated a 'Buy' by several brokerages, leading to its price shooting higher over the past week. SATS also received a positive boost, as the United States laid out its plan to relax border restrictions for vaccinated travellers [news].

Heading into October, I see little stimulus for stock prices to continue its climb. I'm keeping hope that we are due for a price correction soon, so that suitable buying opportunities will appear. We shall see.




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Wednesday, September 1, 2021

Portfolio Summary for August 2021

As of 31 August 2021

CDP

Security# sharesPrice S$%
DBS70029.977.68
OCBC Bank1,50011.436.28
SGX1,2009.904.35
SATS3,9004.075.81
ST Engineering4,1003.785.67
CapitaLand5,4004.007.91
Singtel6,1002.325.18
Powermatic Data5,0003.065.60
Micro-Mechanics1,3003.261.55
ComfortDelGro7,9001.624.68
Sheng Siong9,6001.515.31
Genting Singapore11,7000.7653.28
TheHourGlass15,4001.438.06
HRnetGroup21,9000.806.41
China Sunsine31,0000.495.56
HC Surgical35,5000.5156.69
Silverlake Axis60,8000.286.23
Kimly27,0000.383.76
Portfolio Value = $273,208

Trade Actions
- None

SRS

Security# sharesPrice S$%
OCBC Bank90011.4314.22
SGX1,3009.9017.80
SATS2,2004.0712.38
ST Engineering1,7003.788.89
Singtel2,0002.326.42
Sheng Siong8,7001.5118.16
HC Surgical19,5000.51513.89
Silverlake Axis21,3000.288.25
Portfolio Value = $72,321

Trade Actions
- None

Commentary:
Another month of discipline for me. I did not pull the trigger on any stock in my list. From the recent price movement, the local market seemed to have hit a peak. The Straits Times Index is down 3.5 percent for August, even though the SPX 500 Index is up 2.9 percent for the corresponding period. Of course I could be wrong - the bulls may decide to stage a comeback. Nonetheless, I am sitting pat on my cash for now. My warchest is building up comfortably, and I will deploy it at an opportune time.

Street talk for August - Yokohama has elected a mayor whom is against the building of a casino. So the hope for Genting Singapore to win the gambling license is as good as gone. ComfortDelGro on the other hand, secured a S$1.13 billion joint venture deal to operate rail services in Auckland. The transport conglomerate is also looking to list its Australian subsidiary. In-flight caterer SATS has gotten a boost, as Singapore opens up to welcome visitors from Germany and Brunei with quarantine-free travel. Finally, shareholders of CapitaLand has voted overwhelmingly to privatize its property development business, and transit into a fund management model. We shall see the birth of CapitaLand Investment (CLI) in September.

At home, my spouse had broached the topic about refunding our CPF account, which we had used to pay for our housing loan. After careful consideration, I decided not to go ahead with my portion. There is no additional benefit, other than 'owing' myself less CPF interest. Moreover, I need to set my funds aside for my kids' endowment policy premiums, SRS account top-up as well as CPF Retirement Sum top-up due at the end of the year.

It is amusing to know there are numerous ways money can flow out of your pocket, but only a few streams that money can flow into your pocket. Juggling cashflows is always such a delicate game.




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