Friday, December 31, 2021

Portfolio Summary for December 2021

As of 31 December 2021

CDP

Security# sharesPrice S$%
DBS70032.667.87
OCBC Bank1,50011.405.89
SGX1,2009.303.84
SATS3,9003.895.23
ST Engineering4,1003.765.31
CapitaLand Invest5,4003.416.34
Singtel6,1002.324.87
Powermatic Data5,0002.945.06
Micro-Mechanics1,3003.381.51
ComfortDelGro11,2001.405.40
Sheng Siong13,0001.466.54
Genting Singapore11,7000.7753.12
TheHourGlass15,4002.0410.82
HRnetGroup21,9000.8056.07
China Sunsine31,0000.4855.18
HC Surgical35,5000.556.73
Silverlake Axis60,8000.2755.76
Kimly27,0000.4153.86
CL Int Com Trust8352.040.59
Portfolio Value = $290,330

Trade Actions
- None

SRS

Security# sharesPrice S$%
OCBC Bank90011.4012.68
SGX1,3009.3014.95
SATS2,2003.8910.58
ST Engineering1,7003.767.90
Singtel2,0002.325.74
ComfortDelGro6,9001.4011.94
Sheng Siong8,7001.4615.70
HC Surgical19,5000.5513.26
Silverlake Axis21,3000.2757.24
Portfolio Value = $80,885

Trade Actions
- Bought 3,600 shares of ComfortDelGro Group.

Commentary:
We have finally come to the end of a tumultuous year. When the shadow of the Delta variant is almost behind us, there arose yet another more infectious Omicron variant of the COVID-19 virus. Luckily, the Omicron variant is not as lethal as expected. Coupled with a high rate of vaccination, the downside impact is mitigated to an extent. Nevertheless, the virus is constantly mutating, and we will never know what may come in Year 2022.

Fortunately, human affairs are more predictable. The U.S. and Russia have started engaging in talks rather than military manoeuvres, so the chance of an armed conflict in Europe is unlikely at this point [news]. U.S. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has been endorsed for another term. The Fed has clearly signaled its intention to end the bond buying [news] and will raise interest rates soon. This bodes well for banks who have been facing NIM pressure, but bad news for mortgagors. The MAS has cautioned about the rising debt level in Singaporean households [news]. A rate hike also spells trouble for companies deep in liabilities. Look no further than China's Evergrande as a poster child of what may happen to companies who mismanage their borrowings. This is one reason why I steer clear of most REITs and have a preference for companies with minimal debt or are debt-free.

For myself, I have finished the last instalment of my son's endowment plan, which means my future income can be freed up for other use (like bullets for my investment portfolio!) I completed my CPF and SRS Top-ups in December too. I just found out that I have hit the cap for my CPF Special Account (SA) and Medisave Account (MA) in 2021. Come 2022 when the ceiling is raised further to $192,000 for SA and $66,000 for MA respectively, I will be making another contribution before the Lunar New Year. The aim is to maximize the income tax relief.

Investments-wise, I have been disciplined in following my rules this year. I stuck to only companies on my watchlist (regardless of how appealing those cash-burning unicorns and cryptocurrencies appear to be!) I waited patiently for the stocks to fall from their sky high prices before taking small bites at a time. I consider myself a weirdo investor - Lofty valuations of my portfolio doesn't make me happy. On the contrary, I feel excited when stock prices plunge, because it means I get opportunities to add on my positions. For months when there wasn't any buying opportunity, I saved up the money. So far, I have managed to rebuild a sizeable war chest. I hope to be able to deploy it in 2022.

In summary, 2021 has been a satisfactory year for me in terms of investment and working towards my goal of financial freedom. While I faced psychological stress due to juggling Work-From-Home arrangement and my children's Home-Based Learning, I am glad my family managed to stay safe and healthy. As the population achieves herd immunity, my hope for 2022 is that the COVID-19 virus will become no deadlier than the seasonal flu, and that we can regain some semblance of life prior to the pandemic (e.g. no requirement for outdoor mask wearing). I also hope to travel overseas again.

Have a wonderful New Year, my friends!




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Tuesday, November 30, 2021

Portfolio Summary for November 2021

As of 30 November 2021

CDP

Security# sharesPrice S$%
DBS70029.877.22
OCBC Bank1,50010.985.69
SGX1,2008.933.70
SATS3,9003.805.12
ST Engineering4,1003.815.40
CapitaLand Invest5,4003.366.27
Singtel6,1002.475.02
Powermatic Data5,0002.915.03
Micro-Mechanics1,3003.201.44
ComfortDelGro11,2001.375.30
Sheng Siong13,0001.466.56
Genting Singapore11,7000.773.11
TheHourGlass15,4002.1611.49
HRnetGroup21,9000.7956.01
China Sunsine31,0000.495.25
HC Surgical35,5000.576.99
Silverlake Axis60,8000.2855.99
Kimly27,0000.4153.87
CL Int Com Trust8352.110.61
Portfolio Value = $289,513

Trade Actions
- Bought 3,300 shares of ComfortDelGro Group.

SRS

Security# sharesPrice S$%
OCBC Bank90010.9813.10
SGX1,3008.9315.39
SATS2,2003.8011.08
ST Engineering1,7003.818.58
Singtel2,0002.366.26
ComfortDelGro3,3001.375.99
Sheng Siong8,7001.4616.83
HC Surgical19,5000.5714.73
Silverlake Axis21,3000.2858.05
Portfolio Value = $75,457

Trade Actions
- Bought 3,300 shares of ComfortDelGro Group.

Commentary:
News of the Omicron variant of COVID-19 virus spooked investors worldwide at the end of the month. I took the opportunity to take a small bite of ComfortDelGro Group as its price sailed lower...only to see it tank even further after the news. Sigh. That just goes to show how volatile the stock market is these days.

It should have been a good year for most investors. The S&P 500 Index has soared an admirable 24 percent year-to-date. Even our local Straits Times Index has done well, having risen nearly 10 percent YTD. It is unlikely we will see major price (mood?) swings in December, but in the event opportunity knocks, I have my dry powder ready for deployment into the stock market.

December also marks the time of the year when I experience HUGE cash outflows. Firstly, there is the premium due for my son's endowment plan. Thankfully, this is the last instalment, which means the money vested will start to roll on its own until my son hits university age. I will not have to worry too much about the enrolment fee.

Then, there is the CPF Retirement Sum Topping-Up (RSTU). I do this every year to grow my CPF funds at a good interest rate while earning some income tax relief at the same time. Lastly, there is the topping-up of my Supplementary Retirement Scheme (SRS) account. This is another method I use to grow my retirement fund tax-free. My company also does a 50% matching of my SRS contribution up to a certain amount, so it is like an annual bonus.

Looking ahead, the Omicron variant threatens to rock the boat for every person, business and country again. It has been two years since the first appearance of the COVID-19 virus, and now it looks like a neverending war. Mask wearing has become an essential part of everyday life. I can only hope for the day when we no longer have to live under the shadow of the pandemic.

Enough of the sad stuff. Have a jolly Christmas, my friends!




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Sunday, October 31, 2021

Portfolio Summary for October 2021

As of 31 October 2021

CDP

Security# sharesPrice S$%
DBS70031.537.59
OCBC Bank1,50011.806.09
SGX1,2009.683.99
SATS3,9004.195.62
ST Engineering4,1003.835.40
CapitaLand Invest5,4003.446.39
Singtel6,1002.505.24
Powermatic Data5,0002.935.04
Micro-Mechanics1,3003.311.48
ComfortDelGro7,9001.564.24
Sheng Siong13,0001.426.35
Genting Singapore11,7000.783.14
TheHourGlass15,4001.9610.38
HRnetGroup21,9000.8156.14
China Sunsine31,0000.515.44
HC Surgical35,5000.5456.65
Silverlake Axis60,8000.326.69
Kimly27,0000.383.53
CL Int Com Trust8352.150.62
Portfolio Value = $290,821

Trade Actions
- None

SRS

Security# sharesPrice S$%
OCBC Bank90011.8014.40
SGX1,3009.6817.07
SATS2,2004.1912.50
ST Engineering1,7003.838.83
Singtel2,0002.506.78
Sheng Siong8,7001.4216.76
HC Surgical19,5000.54514.41
Silverlake Axis21,3000.329.24
Portfolio Value = $73,731

Trade Actions
- None

Commentary:
October sailed past in the blink of an eye. I hadn't paid much attention to the market while my work piled up, since the prices were trading beyond my preferred range. In the end, it seems I didn't miss much.

Company-wise, I'm happy with the latest performance by Sheng Siong Group. Revenue and profit went up, though strangely, the stock had lost favour among investors. The price had dropped since the last time I made my purchase. At this level of dividend yield, I believe it is a good opportunity to load up. I will consider buying more shares soon.

Two more months to go before we call an end to 2021. I'm starting to clear my annual leave bit by bit, which gives me a much needed break away from work. The daily number of COVID-19 cases in Singapore remains a concern however. My family encountered a false alarm, which required my son to do daily ART. I have a close friend whose child was diagnosed with COVID-19 positive unfortunately.

I hope those affected families are coping well. My heart goes out to you.



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Thursday, September 30, 2021

Portfolio Summary for September 2021

As of 30 September 2021

CDP

Security# sharesPrice S$%
DBS70030.327.60
OCBC Bank1,50011.506.17
SGX1,2009.984.29
SATS3,9004.165.81
ST Engineering4,1003.815.59
CapitaLand Invest5,4003.406.57
Singtel6,1002.465.37
Powermatic Data5,0002.905.19
Micro-Mechanics1,3003.211.49
ComfortDelGro7,9001.514.27
Sheng Siong13,0001.486.89
Genting Singapore11,7000.723.01
TheHourGlass15,4001.568.60
HRnetGroup21,9000.776.03
China Sunsine31,0000.4955.49
HC Surgical35,5000.556.99
Silverlake Axis60,8000.2956.42
Kimly27,0000.3753.62
CL Int Com Trust8352.030.61
Portfolio Value = $279,440

Trade Actions
- Bought 3,400 shares of Sheng Siong Group.

SRS

Security# sharesPrice S$%
OCBC Bank90011.5014.03
SGX1,3009.9817.59
SATS2,2004.1612.41
ST Engineering1,7003.818.78
Singtel2,0002.466.67
Sheng Siong8,7001.4817.46
HC Surgical19,5000.5514.54
Silverlake Axis21,3000.2958.52
Portfolio Value = $73,758

Trade Actions
- None

Commentary:
Will keep it short. I did only one trade, adding my position in Sheng Siong Group as the price floated lower. September also witnessed the birth of CapitaLand Investment Management, which was rated a 'Buy' by several brokerages, leading to its price shooting higher over the past week. SATS also received a positive boost, as the United States laid out its plan to relax border restrictions for vaccinated travellers [news].

Heading into October, I see little stimulus for stock prices to continue its climb. I'm keeping hope that we are due for a price correction soon, so that suitable buying opportunities will appear. We shall see.




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Wednesday, September 1, 2021

Portfolio Summary for August 2021

As of 31 August 2021

CDP

Security# sharesPrice S$%
DBS70029.977.68
OCBC Bank1,50011.436.28
SGX1,2009.904.35
SATS3,9004.075.81
ST Engineering4,1003.785.67
CapitaLand5,4004.007.91
Singtel6,1002.325.18
Powermatic Data5,0003.065.60
Micro-Mechanics1,3003.261.55
ComfortDelGro7,9001.624.68
Sheng Siong9,6001.515.31
Genting Singapore11,7000.7653.28
TheHourGlass15,4001.438.06
HRnetGroup21,9000.806.41
China Sunsine31,0000.495.56
HC Surgical35,5000.5156.69
Silverlake Axis60,8000.286.23
Kimly27,0000.383.76
Portfolio Value = $273,208

Trade Actions
- None

SRS

Security# sharesPrice S$%
OCBC Bank90011.4314.22
SGX1,3009.9017.80
SATS2,2004.0712.38
ST Engineering1,7003.788.89
Singtel2,0002.326.42
Sheng Siong8,7001.5118.16
HC Surgical19,5000.51513.89
Silverlake Axis21,3000.288.25
Portfolio Value = $72,321

Trade Actions
- None

Commentary:
Another month of discipline for me. I did not pull the trigger on any stock in my list. From the recent price movement, the local market seemed to have hit a peak. The Straits Times Index is down 3.5 percent for August, even though the SPX 500 Index is up 2.9 percent for the corresponding period. Of course I could be wrong - the bulls may decide to stage a comeback. Nonetheless, I am sitting pat on my cash for now. My warchest is building up comfortably, and I will deploy it at an opportune time.

Street talk for August - Yokohama has elected a mayor whom is against the building of a casino. So the hope for Genting Singapore to win the gambling license is as good as gone. ComfortDelGro on the other hand, secured a S$1.13 billion joint venture deal to operate rail services in Auckland. The transport conglomerate is also looking to list its Australian subsidiary. In-flight caterer SATS has gotten a boost, as Singapore opens up to welcome visitors from Germany and Brunei with quarantine-free travel. Finally, shareholders of CapitaLand has voted overwhelmingly to privatize its property development business, and transit into a fund management model. We shall see the birth of CapitaLand Investment (CLI) in September.

At home, my spouse had broached the topic about refunding our CPF account, which we had used to pay for our housing loan. After careful consideration, I decided not to go ahead with my portion. There is no additional benefit, other than 'owing' myself less CPF interest. Moreover, I need to set my funds aside for my kids' endowment policy premiums, SRS account top-up as well as CPF Retirement Sum top-up due at the end of the year.

It is amusing to know there are numerous ways money can flow out of your pocket, but only a few streams that money can flow into your pocket. Juggling cashflows is always such a delicate game.




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Monday, August 30, 2021

Singtel - Caught between a rock and a hard place

Singtel looks to be caught between a rock and a hard place. One of its associates Bharti Airtel intends to raise up to Rs 21,000 crore through a rights issue to bolster its balance sheet [news].

A Bloomberg Intelligence analyst estimates Singtel may need to cough up S$1.2 billion to avoid dilution of its 31.7% stake in Bharti.

As we know, Singtel is in the midst of rolling out its own 5G infrastructure in Singapore, and it costs a bomb. We also know Singtel's subsidiary Optus is trying to offload its towers to raise capital. But I fear this may not be sufficient, which implies Singtel may have to risk cutting its dividend to conserve cash.

It certainly doesn't bode well to equity investors like me. We shall see in due time what Singtel management has to say about this matter.




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Tuesday, August 10, 2021

And CLI is thus born...




No surprise here, since the market has anticipated investors to vote in favour of transiting CapitaLand to CapitaLand Investment (CLI).  So far, the market has been receptive of the transition, as inferred from the rise in CapitaLand's stock price post-announcement.

CapitaLand management and board released a Q&A document this morning [announcement]. To me, the most interesting question in the list was why did CapitaLand management choose to distribute in specie CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CIC) units to CapitaLand shareholders instead of other REITs (AREIT, ART etc)?

Have a read of the document if you are keen to find out the answer.




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Saturday, July 31, 2021

Portfolio Summary for July 2021

As of 31 July 2021

CDP

Security# sharesPrice S$%
DBS70030.417.55
OCBC Bank1,50012.306.54
SGX1,20011.885.06
SATS3,9004.015.55
ST Engineering4,1004.015.83
CapitaLand5,4004.037.72
Singtel6,1002.274.91
Powermatic Data5,0003.135.55
Micro-Mechanics1,3003.171.46
ComfortDelGro7,9001.574.40
Sheng Siong9,6001.575.34
Genting Singapore11,7000.813.36
TheHourGlass15,4001.548.41
HRnetGroup21,9000.7956.17
China Sunsine31,0000.515.61
HC Surgical35,5000.5456.86
Silverlake Axis60,8000.2655.71
Kimly27,0000.4153.97
Portfolio Value = $282,006

Trade Actions
- None

SRS

Security# sharesPrice S$%
OCBC Bank90012.3014.45
SGX1,30011.8820.16
SATS2,2004.0111.51
ST Engineering1,7004.018.90
Singtel2,0002.275.93
Sheng Siong8,7001.5717.83
HC Surgical19,5000.54513.87
Silverlake Axis21,3000.2657.37
Portfolio Value = $76,624

Trade Actions
- None

Commentary:
I did not make any trade for the month of July. The stock prices stayed higher than my ideal entry range. Thus, I saved up my excess cash as dry powder.

The market cheered the lifting of dividend cap on local banks by MAS [news]. Analysts expect the three banks to increase the dividend payout on the next earning release [news]. With the tapering of the Jobs Support Scheme (JSS) while COVID-19 is still ravaging globally, some firms in tourism-sensitive industries like SATS will face a more arduous journey ahead. In its 1Q FY22 business update, the airline caterer reported its PATMI would have been a loss of S$35.6m if not for government reliefs [announcement].

Medical group HC Surgical Specialists reported improvement in its result, with full year profit almost double y-o-y [announcement]. The company bumped up its dividend from 0.7 cents a share to 2.3 cents a share. I also had a pleasant surprise from rubber chemical maker China Sunsine Chemicals, which issued a positive profit guidance (read: substantial increase in net profit) ahead of its earning release on 13 Aug [announcement].

August will be a busy month to watch, as most local big caps report their results for the first half of the calendar year. Among those on my list include OCBC (4 Aug), DBS (5 Aug), SGX (5 Aug), ST Engineering (12 Aug), Genting Singapore (12 Aug), CapitaLand (13 Aug) and ComfortDelGro (13 Aug).




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Wednesday, June 30, 2021

Portfolio Summary for June 2021

As of 30 June 2021

CDP

Security# sharesPrice S$%
DBS70029.817.64
OCBC Bank1,50011.956.56
SGX1,20011.184.91
SATS3,9003.935.61
ST Engineering4,1003.875.81
CapitaLand5,4003.717.33
Singtel6,1002.295.11
Powermatic Data5,0003.205.85
Micro-Mechanics1,3003.121.48
ComfortDelGro7,9001.644.74
Sheng Siong9,6001.585.55
Genting Singapore11,7000.8353.57
TheHourGlass15,4001.588.90
HRnetGroup21,9000.695.53
China Sunsine31,0000.5155.84
HC Surgical35,5000.4956.43
Silverlake Axis60,8000.2355.23
Kimly27,0000.3953.90
Portfolio Value = $273,288

Trade Actions
- Bought 3,200 shares of Sheng Siong Group.

SRS

Security# sharesPrice S$%
OCBC Bank90011.9514.63
SGX1,30011.1819.77
SATS2,2003.9311.76
ST Engineering1,7003.878.95
Singtel2,0002.296.23
Sheng Siong8,7001.5818.70
HC Surgical19,5000.49513.13
Silverlake Axis21,3000.2356.81
Portfolio Value = $73,498

Trade Actions
- None

Commentary:
The local market has been trading in a range for the month of June. However, this is still higher than my preferred entry level, hence I did not execute many trades. I did add more Sheng Siong shares to my CDP portfolio when the price retreated from the spike last month. There is a jubilant mood among investors as the economy recovers. Many believe interest rates will remain low till next year, despite 'transient' signs of inflation.

It has been eighteen months since the COVID-19 coronavirus first struck. How things have changed. I have been working from home for more than a year. My grocery shopping is now done in the wee hours of the morning, so as to avoid crowds. And my kids are getting competent in navigating the Internet, doing Google searches, attending Zoom meetings and submitting scanned written homework online. While I miss traveling, I have used my free time to pick up Bahasa Melayu and watch video documentaries.

How has life changed for you?




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Monday, May 31, 2021

Portfolio Summary for May 2021

As of 31 May 2021

CDP

Security# sharesPrice S$%
DBS70030.038.09
OCBC Bank1,50012.367.13
SGX1,20010.334.77
SATS3,9003.925.88
ST Engineering4,1003.876.10
CapitaLand5,4003.667.60
Singtel6,1002.415.65
Powermatic Data5,0002.665.12
Micro-Mechanics1,3003.141.57
ComfortDelGro7,9001.705.17
Sheng Siong6,4001.593.91
Genting Singapore11,7000.8453.80
TheHourGlass15,4001.237.29
HRnetGroup21,9000.665.56
China Sunsine31,0000.546.44
HC Surgical35,5000.486.55
Silverlake Axis60,8000.2455.73
Kimly27,0000.353.63
Portfolio Value = $259,974

Trade Actions
- Sold 28,200 shares of Nam Lee Pressed Metals.

SRS

Security# sharesPrice S$%
OCBC Bank90012.3615.24
SGX1,30010.3318.40
SATS2,2003.9211.82
ST Engineering1,7003.879.01
Singtel2,0002.416.60
Sheng Siong8,7001.5918.95
HC Surgical19,5000.4812.82
Silverlake Axis21,3000.2457.15
Portfolio Value = $72,988

Trade Actions
- Bought 21,300 shares of Silverlake Axis.

Commentary:
Another month has passed in the blink of an eye. The selldown in May did not materialise to a big extent, which was admittedly disappointing due to a dearth of suitable buying opportunities. Market was rangebound, with no impetus to climb or decline. Talk of the town has been around the volatility in Bitcoin price, and whether the U.S. Fed will be forced to raise rates to counter inflation. (At the moment, it looks to be no.)

A few conglomerates reported their fiscal results in May. Of particular note was SATS, which would have reported a heavy loss if not for government support. The board had opted to omit the final dividend, which (to me) was a prudent move. The company should not needlessly compromise its current cash-rich position. It is anybody's guess how long the COVID-19 pandemic will last.

SingTel booked an exceptional charge of S$1.18 billion to write down its struggling Amobee and Trustwave divisions, while its new CEO cited plans for a "strategic reset" to drive recovery and growth for the telco giant. Research analysts had dubbed this as a "kitchen-sinking exercise" and are generally optimistic on the future direction. I look forward to a successful execution of the new strategy.

The Hour Glass reported resilient fiscal results despite the pandemic. More pleasantly, the board declared a final dividend of 4 Singapore cents per share, which is double of the previous year. The stock price had soared as a result.

Nam Lee Pressed Metals reported a good set of results. 1H FY2021 revenue was up 63% YoY, gross profit was up 139% YoY. The stock price reacted positively to the news. However, as the company no longer fits into my investment mandate, I squared off my position with a tiny profit.

I also nibbled some Silverlake Axis shares for my SRS portfolio. The most recent result is still palatable, and as the company described in its 3Q FY2021 highlights, "the industry has come to realise that there is no quick end to the pandemic and they have started to budget and plan for an expansionary future". This bodes well for the company.

Stocks aside, it is depressing to see Singapore still mired in the pandemic with a string of unlinked community cases daily, despite the heightened measures. I can't help but ponder why Hong Kong, the European Union and the U.S. were not particularly hard hit by the same B1.617.2 variant. Is it ill luck of the draw, or have Singaporeans been too complacent and negligent in combating the spread of the virus?

It is my wish - which I am sure is everybody's - for Singapore to overcome this current wave of transmission. As the Prime Minister and Minister Lawrence Wong have indicated, COVID-19 may become endemic and impossible to get rid of completely. We will have to live with it. Swab and booster jab could be a fair routine in the new normal.




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Monday, May 10, 2021

Quite pleased with Kimly 1H FY2021 result

Popping a short note to say I am quite happy with Kimly's 1H FY2021 result. Net profit more than doubles to S$21.7 million, up 106.2%.

Dividend declared 0.56 Singapore cents per share, up from 0.28 Singapore cents previously.




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Friday, April 30, 2021

Portfolio Summary for April 2021

As of 30 April 2021

CDP

Security# sharesPrice S$%
DBS70029.917.87
OCBC Bank1,50012.206.88
SGX1,20010.454.71
SATS3,9004.065.95
ST Engineering4,1003.865.95
CapitaLand5,4003.727.55
Singtel6,1002.505.73
Powermatic Data5,0002.675.02
Micro-Mechanics1,3003.331.63
ComfortDelGro7,9001.725.11
Sheng Siong6,4001.553.73
Genting Singapore11,7000.8653.80
TheHourGlass15,4000.9455.47
HRnetGroup21,9000.655.35
China Sunsine31,0000.5656.58
HC Surgical35,5000.4756.34
Nam Lee Metal28,2000.333.50
Silverlake Axis60,8000.2455.60
Kimly27,0000.323.25
Portfolio Value = $266,090

Trade Actions
- None

SRS

Security# sharesPrice S$%
OCBC Bank90012.2016.19
SGX1,30010.4520.03
SATS2,2004.0613.17
ST Engineering1,7003.869.68
Singtel2,0002.507.37
Sheng Siong8,7001.5519.89
HC Surgical19,5000.47513.66
Portfolio Value = $67,807

Trade Actions
- None

Commentary:
The stock market swayed sideways for most of April. As none of the stocks hit my desired entry level, I did not do a single trade throughout the month. DBS reported stellar 1Q2021 results today. In fact, a fair number of stocks on my watchlist reported better YoY results. The stock market rose correspondingly to the rosier outlook.

But just when the hope of normality is increasing with the ongoing vaccination regime, there came the grim news of a COVID-19 cluster appearing in Tan Tock Seng Hospital, with many folks now under quarantine. We are certainly far from out of the woods yet. It is anybody's guess how the entire saga will end. While humanity will likely persevere and overcome this pandemic, the consequences will be significant.

The adage of "sell in May and go away" may prove to be prescient this year.



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Wednesday, March 31, 2021

Portfolio Summary for March 2021

As of 31 March 2021

CDP

Security# sharesPrice S$%
DBS70028.797.69
OCBC Bank1,50011.756.72
SGX1,2009.974.56
SATS3,9004.356.47
ST Engineering4,1003.896.08
CapitaLand5,4003.767.74
Singtel6,1002.445.68
Powermatic Data5,0002.574.90
Micro-Mechanics1,3003.191.58
ComfortDelGro7,9001.715.15
Sheng Siong6,4001.543.76
Genting Singapore11,7000.924.11
TheHourGlass15,4000.9455.55
HRnetGroup21,9000.675.60
China Sunsine31,0000.5256.21
HC Surgical35,5000.4355.89
Nam Lee Metal28,2000.3253.50
Silverlake Axis60,8000.2455.68
Kimly27,0000.3053.14
Portfolio Value = $262,210

Trade Actions
- Bought 20,800 shares of Silverlake Axis.

SRS

Security# sharesPrice S$%
OCBC Bank90011.7515.91
SGX1,3009.9719.50
SATS2,2004.3514.40
ST Engineering1,7003.899.95
Singtel2,0002.447.34
Sheng Siong8,7001.5420.15
HC Surgical19,5000.43512.76
Portfolio Value = $66,480

Trade Actions
- None

Commentary:
This will be a short entry, because I did not do much trading. I only bought additional shares of Silverlake Axis for my CDP portfolio as the price floated down. Most of the time, I am just monitoring the stocks while sitting pat on my idle cash. The market seemed to have priced in a rosier future six months down the road. No doubt the multi-ministry COVID-19 Task Force's decision to ease workplace restrictions and the ongoing vaccination regime around the developed world is giving hope to investors that the worst is behind us. However, I choose to remain cautious and disciplined - only pull the trigger when the stock price is within my target range.




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Saturday, February 27, 2021

Portfolio Summary for February 2021

As of 27 February 2021

CDP

Security# sharesPrice S$%
DBS70026.647.64
OCBC Bank1,50010.996.75
SGX1,2009.994.91
SATS3,9004.407.03
ST Engineering4,1003.766.32
CapitaLand5,4003.187.04
Singtel6,1002.355.87
Powermatic Data5,0002.705.53
Micro-Mechanics1,3003.071.64
ComfortDelGro7,9001.615.21
Sheng Siong6,4001.564.09
Genting Singapore11,7000.8554.10
TheHourGlass15,4000.885.55
HRnetGroup21,9000.565.03
China Sunsine31,0000.4856.16
HC Surgical35,5000.4256.18
Nam Lee Metal28,2000.3153.64
Silverlake Axis40,0000.243.93
Kimly27,0000.3053.37
Portfolio Value = $244,058

Trade Actions
- Bought 3,200 shares of Sheng Siong Group.

SRS

Security# sharesPrice S$%
OCBC Bank90010.9915.10
SGX1,3009.9919.82
SATS2,2004.4014.78
ST Engineering1,7003.769.76
Singtel2,0002.357.17
Sheng Siong8,7001.5620.72
HC Surgical19,5000.42512.65
Portfolio Value = $65,510

Trade Actions
- None

Commentary:
The Lunar New Year came and went just as fast. I usually think the year (i.e. hard slog) begins when the CNY festivities are over. Nonetheless, February is a good month as that is when my performance bonus comes in, and it was much better than expected this time. I am thankful my boss appreciates my contribution over the past year. However, for the new workyear, I am given a challenging client account to service. I can only see hardship down the road. (Sigh.)

Investments wise, I only added one position in February. Sheng Siong Group reported stellar FY2020 performance as the supermarket operator clocked higher sales, partly due to COVID-19 lockdown and Work From Home while maintaining healthy gross margins. I'm happy that the Board decided to distribute a higher DPS (3 cents). Together with the previous DPS (3.5 cents), this translates to a trailing-12-months dividend yield of 4.2 per cent based on current price. This is a satisfactory level to me, and I decided to add to my position.

Looking forward, I doubt there is any more impetus for the market to rally higher, so we will likely see the market hover around these price levels. Current Street talk is about the ongoing COVID-19 vaccination in Singapore, but I have my reservations that this event will make any difference in the near term. Many countries are still reeling from 2nd, 3rd and Nth wave of infections, so it may take a few more years before normality resumes. Perhaps the old normal is no longer coming back. Companies that are cash strapped, debt laden, with outdated business models and unable to adapt will face tough times ahead.




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Saturday, January 30, 2021

Portfolio Summary for January 2021

As of 30 January 2021

CDP

Security# sharesPrice S$%
DBS70025.187.49
OCBC Bank1,50010.326.58
SGX1,2009.905.05
SATS3,9003.856.38
ST Engineering4,1003.716.47
CapitaLand5,4003.217.37
Singtel6,1002.366.12
Powermatic Data5,0002.635.59
Micro-Mechanics1,3003.642.01
ComfortDelGro7,9001.585.31
Sheng Siong3,2001.622.20
Genting Singapore11,7000.8554.25
TheHourGlass15,4000.795.17
HRnetGroup21,9000.555.12
China Sunsine31,0000.4556.00
HC Surgical35,5000.436.49
Nam Lee Metal28,2000.3454.14
Silverlake Axis40,0000.2654.51
Kimly27,0000.3253.73
Portfolio Value = $235,179

Trade Actions
- None

SRS

Security# sharesPrice S$%
OCBC Bank90010.3214.48
SGX1,3009.9020.07
SATS2,2003.8513.21
ST Engineering1,7003.719.83
Singtel2,0002.367.36
Sheng Siong8,7001.6221.98
HC Surgical19,5000.4313.07
Portfolio Value = $64,134

Trade Actions
- Sold 3,600 shares of CapitaLand IntCom Trust.

Commentary:
Similar to December, market prices stayed higher than I would have liked, so I did not make any purchase. I did sell my last REIT position though. The price of CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust shot above $2.30, which was when I decided to let go. My investment focus has changed, and I am no longer keen to hold REITs in my portfolio (even when they generate high dividend yields).

News that caught my attention include Sheng Siong management deciding to award up to 16 months' bonus to its staff [news]. (I would love if my boss could even give me half of that!) Another news is about Keppel Corp. The conglomerate had suffered heavily from the lacklustre performance in the O&M sector. As a result, the management had decided to exit the industry entirely [news]. The move to focus on higher margin revenue generators is a good one, although it remains to be seen how fast and furious will Keppel be able to transform itself. Chances are it will take more than a decade. But if it does manage to boost up its ROE, I would be keen to take another look at this behemoth.

Have a wonderful and prosperous Lunar New Year, my friends!




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